NBA
Memphis enters with better recent form indicators on both ends. The Grizzlies have posted stronger shooting, better rebounding, and a far healthier defensive profile, while their last three efficiency samples still sit above New Orleans on offense and well ahead on defense. The Pelicans can still score, but their 32.5% three-point shooting and 122.4 points allowed per game point to a team that has struggled to stop opponents and has been more volatile overall. That combination gives Memphis the clearer path to control the game with half-court efficiency and on-the-glass advantages.
Memphis should edge this game with a more balanced profile and a better defensive floor, while New Orleans will need to outscore mistakes to keep pace. The Pelicans can generate points, but their poor defensive numbers and inconsistent perimeter shooting make them vulnerable against a Memphis team that rebounds better, shoots better, and has the stronger efficiency ratings. The projected final score is Memphis 120, New Orleans 115, which supports a Memphis outright win and a game total that lands just above the market number.
