COLLEGE FOOTBALL
New Mexico State enters at 1-3 with 105 points scored and 119 allowed, and the offense has been more productive than the record suggests thanks to 278.5 passing yards per game and 414.5 total yards per game. Western Kentucky is also 1-3, but its profile is more troubling on defense: the Hilltoppers have allowed 164 points in four games, including 41.0 per game, while giving up 439.0 yards per game. On the other side, Western Kentucky’s offense has produced 21.5 points and 343.5 yards per game, which is enough to keep the game competitive, but not enough to offset the defensive issues if New Mexico State sustains its passing attack.
New Mexico State Aggies are 2-2 against the spread and 2-2 on over/under results.
New Mexico State should be able to control enough of the game flow at home to post a solid scoring day, while Western Kentucky’s defense creates a favorable setup for the Aggies’ passing game. The projected final score is New Mexico State 31, Western Kentucky 27, which supports New Mexico State’s team total over 29.5 and points to a competitive but higher-scoring game overall.
