COLLEGE FOOTBALL
New Mexico State enters with a 1-3 record and has lost two straight, but its offense has been far more productive than Western Kentucky’s, especially through the air with 282.0 passing yards per game. Western Kentucky is also 1-3 and has allowed 52.3 points per game, which is the main reason its recent results have been so difficult. New Mexico State has given up 25.7 points per game, while Western Kentucky has been much worse on both sides of the ball, allowing 497.3 yards per game and 263.3 rushing yards per game. That combination points to a game where New Mexico State should have the cleaner path to scoring, while Western Kentucky may continue to struggle to generate enough offense to force a high total.
New Mexico State should have the more reliable offense in this game, while Western Kentucky’s scoring profile has been far too thin to support a high total with confidence. The Aggies average 29.0 points and 417.7 yards per game, while the Hilltoppers average just 11.3 points and 259.3 yards per game. With Western Kentucky also allowing 52.3 points per game, the more likely outcome is New Mexico State controlling the game without needing a full shootout. Projected final score: New Mexico State Aggies 28, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 17.
