COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Louisville has opened the year with 138 points in three games, pairing a strong passing attack with a rush game that has also been productive, while Wake Forest has scored 96 points and leans more heavily on its passing production. Defensively, both teams have allowed 28.3 points per game, but Louisville has been the more efficient team on offense and has delivered a better ATS start. Wake Forest’s 1-2 ATS record and lower 5.1 yards per play over its last three data points point to a team that can compete but may struggle to keep pace if Louisville gets rolling early.
Louisville is the better side in this matchup because its offense has been more efficient, more productive, and more consistent at home. Wake Forest can score enough to keep the game from turning into a blowout in the early stages, but Louisville’s passing game and overall yardage profile should create enough separation by the second half. My projected final score is Louisville 38, Wake Forest 27, which supports Louisville Cardinals -12.5 as the best betting angle.
