COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Wake Forest enters with one of the stronger offensive profiles in the matchup, driven by 37.4 points per game, 290.3 passing yards per game, and 6.7 yards per play. Virginia has also been productive enough to keep games competitive, posting 28.3 points per game and 199.3 passing yards per game, but its defense has given up 19.6 points per game and 5.3 yards per play. On the other side, Wake Forest’s defense has been more limiting, allowing 19.4 points per game and just 4.4 yards per play, which suggests Virginia will need efficiency rather than volume to stay on schedule. The result is a game that projects as offense-friendly but not reckless, with both teams capable of contributing to a higher final total.
Wake Forest should control the game, but Virginia has enough offensive ability to keep the scoring in range for an over result. The combined profile points to a contest with efficient passing on both sides and enough drives extended by weaker pass defense from Virginia. My projection is Wake Forest 34, Virginia 27, which supports the over and gives Wake Forest the win while still leaving room for Virginia to contribute enough to clear the total.