COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Auburn enters at 2-1 with 33.0 points per game and 458.3 yards per game, but it has allowed 22.7 points per game and 384.0 yards per game, and its yards-per-play defense has been only average at 4.8 allowed. Vanderbilt is unbeaten at 3-0, scoring 32.7 points per game on 381.0 yards per game while allowing 22.0 points per game and 320.7 yards per game. Both teams have balanced attacks, but Auburn has the stronger raw yardage output, while Vanderbilt has been steadier at limiting damage and has stayed efficient enough through three games to keep scoring pressure on the opponent.
Auburn should be the better team overall, but the cleaner betting angle is Auburn staying below its team total. The Tigers have a strong offense, yet Vanderbilt has held opponents to 22.0 points per game and has enough offensive efficiency to keep Auburn from piling up possessions. My projected score is Auburn Tigers 31, Vanderbilt Commodores 24, which supports Auburn winning while finishing under 33.5 points and landing near a moderate total.
