COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Florida Atlantic enters with a 3-1 record and three straight wins, powered by 30.0 points per game and 299.8 passing yards per game. The Owls have been efficient through the air, but their defense has allowed 426.5 yards and 30.8 points per game, which leaves the door open for an opponent to score enough to stay within a large number. Texas Southern comes in at 1-3, but its offense has produced 26.5 points per game, 368.3 total yards per game, and 176.25 passing yards per game. The Tigers have struggled defensively, yet their ability to generate offense gives them a path to keep this game closer than the spread suggests.
Florida Atlantic should win at home, but the gap in this matchup is smaller than the market number suggests. The Owls have the cleaner offense, yet both teams have allowed enough production to make a backdoor cover live for Texas Southern. My projection is Florida Atlantic Owls 36, Texas Southern Tigers 24, with Texas Southern staying inside the number and the game landing near the low 60s.
