COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Tulane has opened the season 1-2 with 51 points scored and 72 allowed, and the underlying numbers are mixed: the offense averages 314.0 yards per game while the defense has given up 429.0. That said, the home split is stronger, and the Green Wave have been more efficient at home in yards per play than on the road. Southern Mississippi’s recent statistical profile is not provided in the dataset, so the market read has to lean more heavily on Tulane’s side of the equation and the posted numbers.
Tulane should win comfortably at home, but the best betting angle is the under because the posted total looks a bit high relative to Tulane’s current scoring pace and the expectation of a game controlled by the favorite. A projected final score of Tulane Green Wave 31, Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles 13 fits a lower-scoring script and supports Under 51.5.