Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction - September 26, 2026

Matchup Overview

Texas Tech enters 3-0 with 96 points scored and a balanced offense built on 250.7 passing yards per game and 165.3 rushing yards per game. The Red Raiders have also allowed only 20.0 points per game, and their home efficiency has been much stronger than their road profile. Sam Houston’s available recent team profile shows an offense around 16.6 points per game with 316.1 yards per game and 5.7 yards per play, but its defense has been vulnerable, allowing 40.9 points per game and 480.0 yards per game in the available sample. That gap sets up a game where Texas Tech should own field position and possession, while Sam Houston may struggle to finish drives.

Betting Trends

• ●Texas Tech is 0-3 against the spread and 2-1 on totals in the current trend data.
• ●Sam Houston is 2-0 against the spread and 0-2 on totals in the available trend sample.

Prediction Summary

Texas Tech should control the game from start to finish and turn Sam Houston into a one-dimensional offense that has trouble reaching the end zone. The Red Raiders’ home offense has been efficient, their defense has limited scoring well enough to support an under on the Bearkats’ team total, and the gap between the teams’ offensive output points to a comfortable Texas Tech win. Final score projection: Texas Tech Red Raiders 38, Sam Houston State Bearkats 7.