COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Buffalo comes in at 1-2 and has struggled to stop opposing offenses, allowing 35.0 points per game and 463.0 yards per game. Its offense has produced 18.0 points per game and 271.7 yards per game, with the passing game at 165.0 yards per game and the run game at 106.7. Robert Morris is 2-1 and has been more efficient than many bettors may expect, scoring 22.33 points per game with 302.0 yards per game and 5.1 yards per play. The Colonials have also been solid on third down at 34.09% on offense, while their defense has allowed 20.33 points and 312.3 yards per game. Buffalo has the edge in higher-level talent and depth, but Robert Morris has been respectable enough early to make the under more appealing than a heavy Buffalo side.
Buffalo should control the game, but the most likely path is a lower-scoring win rather than a shootout. The Bulls have been inefficient enough on offense to keep this from getting out of hand, while Robert Morris has shown enough resistance on defense to avoid a complete collapse. My projected final score is Buffalo Bulls 27, Robert Morris Colonials 14, which points to the under as the best value play.