COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Fresno State enters with a balanced offense at 351.1 yards per game, led by 212.1 passing yards per game and 139.0 rushing yards per game, but its defense has given up 384.3 yards per game and 170.7 rushing yards per game. Oregon State has been far more productive on offense at 527.0 yards per game, with 384.9 passing yards per game and 42.7 points per game, while allowing 345.3 yards per game and 23.1 points per game. The contrast is clear: Oregon State has the higher ceiling through the air and the stronger scoring profile, while Fresno State will need a cleaner defensive effort than it has shown to keep this tight.
Oregon State has the cleaner offensive edge and the more reliable scoring profile, while Fresno State has shown enough fight to keep the game competitive for stretches. Still, the Beavers’ passing efficiency and overall yardage output give them the better path to control the game and create separation late. The projected final score is Oregon State Beavers 34, Fresno State Bulldogs 27, which supports Oregon State to cover and a game total that lands above the current market expectation.