COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Florida International enters at 2-2 with a 2-0 home mark, averaging 18.0 points and 418.0 total yards per game while allowing 14.5 points and 244.8 yards per game. New Mexico State is 1-3 and 0-2 on the road, scoring 26.3 points and producing 414.5 yards per game, but it has allowed 29.8 points and 376.5 yards per game. The Aggies have the stronger offense on paper, yet their defense has been the weaker unit in the matchup, while FIU’s defense has been much steadier. That mix points to long stretches where each side can move the ball, but not enough clean finishes to push the game into a big number.
Florida International should have enough defensive control at home to keep this game in a manageable scoring range, while New Mexico State’s offense is good enough to avoid a blowout but not efficient enough to force a track meet. The projected final score is Florida International Panthers 27, New Mexico State Aggies 20, which supports an under result and a home win by a touchdown.