COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Minnesota comes in at 3-1 with back-to-back wins and has been much cleaner on defense, allowing 19.0 points per game and 174.5 passing yards per game. Offensively, the Gophers have produced 35.0 points per game and 377.8 yards per game, with balance between 258.8 passing yards and 119.0 rushing yards per game. Purdue is 1-3 and has dropped three straight, but its offense has still posted 32.0 points and 421.0 yards per game, led by 319.5 passing yards per game. The concern for Purdue is on defense, where it has allowed 39.5 points, 446.0 yards, and 199.5 rushing yards per game, leaving too many paths for Minnesota to create efficient scoring chances without the game turning into a track meet.
Minnesota should be able to outlast Purdue in a higher-scoring but not fully explosive game, with the Gophers’ defense giving them the cleaner profile and Purdue’s pass game keeping the Boilermakers competitive. The projected final score is Minnesota Golden Gophers 27, Purdue Boilermakers 23, which supports Minnesota on the moneyline and leans under the market total.