COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Boise State enters at 2-1 with 103 points scored in three games and a two-game winning streak, powered by a ground game that has carried a large share of the offense. Western Michigan is also 2-1 and has won two straight, leaning on a balanced attack with 29.7 points per game and a defense that allows only 16.0 points per game. The key contrast is on total offense, where Boise State has produced 461.7 yards per game compared with Western Michigan's 322.7, while Western Michigan has been far more efficient defensively in preventing points than Boise State has been. That sets up a game where Boise State's ability to create chunk gains and finish drives is the biggest reason to trust the favorite.
Boise State should leave with a win and a cover, with the matchup projecting as a 30-21 result in favor of the visitors. Boise State owns the stronger offense, especially on the ground, and that gives the favorite the best path to separate late even if Western Michigan keeps the game competitive for stretches. Western Michigan's defense should prevent a runaway score, but the Broncos from Boise are the more complete team and the better side against the spread.