COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Texas Tech enters with five straight wins, a 34.8-point scoring average, and a defense that has been far better at limiting points than Arizona State’s unit. The Red Raiders are also more efficient on a per-play basis, averaging 6.1 yards per play while holding opponents to 5.12. Arizona State has been productive offensively, led by 33.3 points per game and 272.8 passing yards per game, but its offense has been paired with a defense giving up 31.8 points per game and 355.3 yards per game. That profile points to a game where Texas Tech’s balance and home-field edge matter more than Arizona State’s ability to move the ball.
Texas Tech should control this game at home and is projected to win 38-20. The Red Raiders’ offense has been efficient enough to separate, and their defense has been much more dependable than Arizona State’s. Arizona State can score, but the Sun Devils have allowed too many points and too much yardage to trust them to keep this within a one-score range. The best position is Texas Tech Red Raiders -14.5, with a projection that supports a comfortable home cover and a total that lands above the current market number.
