CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

Viking are first in Eliteserien after 22 matches with 56 goals scored and only 20 conceded. Their last five completed matches were L-W-W-W-W, and they have been especially dangerous at Lyse Arena. Bayern are third in Bundesliga after 5 matches, with 16 goals scored and 4 conceded. Their recent run is D-W-W-W-D, and the numbers point to a high-possession favorite that still creates enough chances to push a higher total.
Bayern Munich are projected to win 4-1, with the total landing at 5.0. The best position is Over 4.5 goals because Bayern's chance volume and Viking's domestic scoring rate create a better path to five goals than the current price reflects.