The Utah Utes head to Lawrence on Friday to face the Kansas Jayhawks in what promises to be an important regular-season finale. Utah is riding high after an entertaining 51–47 win over the Kansas State Wildcats. They are heavy favorites as they take on a Kansas team that is searching for a sixth win and bowl eligibility. Before this big game in the Big 12, continue reading to get my Utah vs Kansas prediction.
Our Utah vs Kansas Pick
- Pick: Kansas +12.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Utah Utes vs Kansas Jayhawks
- Date & Time: Friday, November 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET
- Venue: David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium, Lawrence, Kansas
- Broadcast: ESPN
Key Storylines
- Utah’s late-season surge: After escaping with a 51–47 win over Kansas State, Utah enters with momentum. Their offense produced 51 points to earn a win despite their defense surrendering 472 rushing yards. That was an uncharacteristic performance from the Utah defense, but Utah has won four games in a row and have kept themselves in conference championship contention.
- Kansas fighting for relevance: The Jayhawks are 5-6 overall, seeking at least one more win to reach bowl eligibility. They are at home and will be a desperate team to try to reach bowl season. But Kansas has lost two games in a row and will try to make their third crack at bowl eligibility the charm.
- Big 12 Title Scenario: There is only one way that Utah can qualify for the Big 12 championship game. They need to win this game, get wins from Arizona State and BYU, and a loss from Texas Tech this week. That is highly unlikely, but the Utes will try to do their part and keep the pressure on everyone else.
Quarterback Play
Utah quarterback Devon Dampier has been solid this season, throwing for 1,927 yards with 19 touchdowns and only five interceptions. In the win over Kansas State, he posted 259 passing yards on 18-of-33 passing. He also added two rushing touchdowns and is an ever-present threat with his legs.
Kansas turns to Jalon Daniels under center. He has thrown for 2,344 yards, 21 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Daniels is always capable of playing at a high level. If he can do that here, he could lead the Jayhawks back to a bowl game.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Utah is 8-3 against the spread this season.
- Kansas is 4-7 against the spread overall and has yet to cover the spread when they’ve been a double-digit underdog this year.
- Eight of Utah’s 11 games have hit the over.
- Kansas’s games have gone over five out of 11 times.
Utah vs Kansas Model Projection
Score Projection: Utah 35 – Kansas 27
Win Probability: Utah 80%, Kansas 20%
Final Thoughts
Utah should be able to get the win in this game to keep the pressure on the rest of the Big 12 to get the results they need in the race for the championship game. But I’m going to take the points with Kansas at home, as their desperation should lead to a gritty performance even if they fall short.
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