The upcoming clash between the Temple Owls and the North Texas Mean Green this Friday is a huge game for both of these American Athletic Conference teams. North Texas is a win away from locking up a spot in the AAC championship game, while Temple is trying to secure a sixth win that would get them to bowl season. Before kickoff from Texas, my analysis for this game can be found right here, including my Temple vs North Texas prediction.
Our Temple vs North Texas Pick
- Pick: North Texas -20.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Temple Owls @ North Texas Mean Green
- Date & Time: Friday, November 28, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
- Venue: DATCU Stadium, Denton, TX
- Broadcast: ESPN
Key Storylines
- Conference championship stakes for North Texas: The Mean Green (10–1) enter this game in first place in the American Athletic Conference standings. A win would clinch their place in the AAC title game and could open the door for them to reach the College Football Playoff if they were to grab the AAC title as well.
- Temple’s bowl hopes on the line: The Owls is 5–6 and needs a win to get to six wins and bowl eligibility. The Owls face an uphill climb in this contest after losing three games in a row entering this matchup. But an upset win for the Owls would be huge for their program.
- Series history: This is just the third meeting between these two programs and North Texas holds a 2–0 edge. In their previous matchups, the Mean Green outscored Temple 69–31 combined. Temple has yet to claim a win in this series and will try to change that here.
Quarterback Play
- North Texas — Drew Mestemaker: The redshirt freshman has torched defenses all season, compiling 3,469 passing yards, 26 touchdowns, and just 4 interceptions. His connection with top receiver Wyatt Young has been very productive. Young has eclipsed 1,000 receiving yards with 10 touchdowns.
- Temple — Evan Simon: Simon has quietly been efficient with 2,015 passing yards, 24 touchdowns, and only 1 interception. His decision-making and ball security have kept Temple competitive for the most part.
Betting Trends
- North Texas is 9–2 against the spread this season.
- Temple is 7–4 against the spread in 2025.
- The over is 8-3 in games involving North Texas so far this season.
- Temple has gone over the total in 7 of its 11 games this year.
Temple vs North Texas Model Projection
- Projected Score: North Texas 45 – Temple 21
- Win Probability: North Texas 85%, Temple 15%
Final Thoughts
I think we are going to see a lopsided game in Denton on Friday afternoon. North Texas has one of the most explosive offenses in college football and should put a big number on the scoreboard here, one that Temple won’t be able to keep up with. I’ll lay the points with the Mean Green, as they should celebrate a trip to the AAC title game with a win by a convincing margin.
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