Ole Miss Rebels vs Georgia Bulldogs Sugar Bowl Prediction & Odds - 1/1/2026
Updated December 20, 2025
Updated December 20, 2025
The Ole Miss Rebels and Georgia Bulldogs will square off in this year's Sugar Bowl during the quarterfinals of the College Football Playoff. Georgia handed the Rebels their first and only loss of the season so far and they will try to complete a two-game sweep of Ole Miss with a win here. Before these SEC rivals do battle in New Orleans, you can continue reading to find my Ole Miss vs Georgia prediction for the quarterfinals of the CFP.
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Ole Miss looked great in their first-round game in the College Football Playoff. The Rebels annihilated the Tulane Green Wave at home in round one and they now have a chance to avenge their only loss of the season in this contest against Georgia. Ole Miss' offense put up 35 points in that matchup in Athens, but it was the defense that let Ole Miss down and that defense will be tested again here in the second game of the post-Lane Kiffin era for the Rebs.
Georgia received a first-round bye in the CFP by virtue of winning the SEC and finishing third in the tournament's seeding. The Bulldogs have a history of success in this tournament as a program, something Ole Miss does not have to fall back on. Georgia could use their experience to their advantage in this game by maintaining their composure in key moments.
Trinidad Chambliss is the quarterback of Ole Miss and he looked very good in his first College Football Playoff start against Tulane. Chambliss accounted for over 300 total yards and three total touchdowns againsts the Green Wave. Now he will look to put together another strong performance against UGA to advantage to the CFP semifinals.
Gunner Stockton is the starter at quarterback for Georgia. Stockton threw for 2,691 yards, 23 touchdowns, and five interceptions this year. He got his first taste of CFP action last season, when Georgia lost to Notre Dame and Stockton had to start in the place of the injured Carson Beck. Stockton will hope that defeat helps him avoid any pitfalls this time around.
Score Projection: Georgia 35, Ole Miss 31
Win Probability: Georgia 55%, Ole Miss 45%
I think we are in for another highly entertaining matchup between Ole Miss and Georgia in the Sugar Bowl. The edge should go to Georgia in the end, as their playoff experience and the lack of coaching upheaval on their end should help them to survive and advance to the final foursome of the CFP. But I'll take the points with Ole Miss in this one, as it should be a one-possession game.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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