Updated January 23, 2026
The Utah State Aggies and Colorado State Rams will meet in a Mountain West Conference matchup on Friday night. The Aggies have lost two games in a row going into this matchup after a 15-1 start to the season. They will attempt to get back on track against a Colorado State team that has a losing record in conference play early in the year. Before this game tips off in the Mountain West, I've got you covered with my Utah State vs Colorado State prediction right here.
Pick: Utah State -3.5
Confidence: 4/5
Utah State has been one of the Mountain West’s most consistent squads this season, sporting a strong 15-3 overall record and going 6-2 in conference games. They have been efficient on both ends of the floor, averaging 84.8 points per game while limiting opponents to under 70 points per game.
They have received key production from stars such as MJ Collins Jr. and Mason Falslev, both of whom bring scoring and leadership for the Aggies. However, the Aggies are coming off two straight losses, including a setback at home where they lost to UNLV. For Utah State to bounce back here, their defense will need to step up after allowing 85 points per game over the last two games.
Colorado State enters this matchup following an authoritative 81-52 triumph over Air Force that saw the Rams assert themselves from the opening tip. That result snapped a two-game losing streak in conference play, but overall, CSU has been inconsistent in Mountain West contests this year. Their offense remains capable, particularly from beyond the arc, but defensive lapses and turnover issues have hindered them against higher-quality teams.
The home court at Moby Arena typically gives the Rams a lift, where they've performed well historically. They are 8-3 in their home games so far this year and they will try to use their home-court advantage to pull off an upset in this game.
Score Projection: Utah State 82 – Colorado State 75
Win Probability: Utah State 64%, Colorado State 36%
Utah State destroyed Colorado State in their first meeting of the season. And while I think we will get a more competitive game this time around, I'm still going to lay the points with the Aggies in this Mountain West matchup. Utah State is outscoring opponents by just over 16 points per game and they should put forth a strong showing here to end their two-game losing streak.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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