The Texas Tech Red Raiders will visit the Illinois Fighting Illini in a big-time non-conference showdown on Tuesday night. Both squads enter undefeated at 2-0, but this is the first real test of the season for either of these sides. Before this exciting matchup in college hoops on Tuesday, continue reading to get my Texas Tech vs Illinois prediction.
Our Texas Tech vs Illinois Pick
- Pick: Illinois -3.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Illinois Fighting Illini
- Date & Time: Tuesday, November 11, 2025, 8:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: State Farm Center, Champaign, Illinois
- Broadcast: FS1
Key Storylines
- Illinois has dropped exactly 113 points in each of its first two games and Texas Tech has notched 98 in both of theirs. We should see both of these teams regress on offense against a power conference defense here, with the question being how much they each regress.
- Illinois’ frontcourt strength and rebounding presence gives them an early edge. The Illini have dominated the glass and gotten to the free-throw line at a high rate and will try to continue to do so here.
- Texas Tech features key names like JT Toppin (31 pts, 14 reb in his return) and guard Christian Anderson (26 points and 9 assists per game through two games). They will try to continue to get clean looks for themselves and their teammates here.
- Illinois may be without key center Tomislav Ivisic (knee) for the time being, which could open the door for Texas Tech to attack inside. Nevertheless, Illinois’ depth and home court help mitigate that concern.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Illinois is 2-0 against the spread so far this season.
- Texas Tech is 1-1 against the spread through their first two games.
- The Red Raiders have gone over the total in each of their first two outings.
- Both games have gone over the total for the Fighting Illini as well.
- This is the first meeting between these programs in college basketball.
Texas Tech vs Illinois Model Projection
Score Projection: Illinois 82 – Texas Tech 76
Win Probability: Illinois 61%, Texas Tech 39%
Final Thoughts
Illinois comes into this game with some injury concerns. But I think they are well-equipped to overcome those concerns. This is the first road game of the season for Texas Tech and they could struggle in this spot against an Illinois team that still has a ton of talent despite any injuries they are dealing with. I'll lay the points with the Illini in one of the games of the night in college hoops.
Jay Sanin
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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