Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs Green Bay Phoenix Prediction – 2/12/2026

This Horizon League showdown between the Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons and the Green Bay Phoenix carries real significance for both teams as they jockey for positioning in the conference standings. The Mastodons (14-11, 8-6 Horizon) travel north to face the Phoenix (14-12, 9-6 Horizon) at the Kress Events Center in Green Bay, Wisconsin, on Thursday. This game features two clubs in the top four in the Horizon League standings, making this a big one with postseason play just weeks away. Here, I break down this game and make my Purdue Fort Wayne vs Green Bay prediction in the betting markets.

Our Purdue Fort Wayne vs Green Bay Pick

Pick:

Confidence: ★★★★☆

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons @ Green Bay Phoenix
• Date & Time: February 12, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: Kress Events Center, Green Bay, WI
• Broadcast: ESPN2

Key Storylines

This game comes at an important time in the Horizon League. Green Bay sits just a game ahead of Purdue Fort Wayne in conference play, and with each team eyeing a top-tier seed in the Horizon League tournament, Thursday’s result could carry implications beyond the regular season. The Phoenix are coming off consecutive wins at Northern Kentucky in overtime and over Detroit Mercy, regaining some rhythm after split results earlier in league play. Green Bay’s offense is anchored by CJ O’Hara, who has been a consistent scoring presence at around 14 points per game. Preston Ruedinger is a steady threat from beyond the arc, averaging 2.2 made threes per outing.

Purdue Fort Wayne has recently struggled with consistency, suffering a loss at Youngstown State but also hanging in games against quality conference foes. Senior guard Corey Hadnot II has been the Mastodons’ primary offensive force, averaging 20.0 points per game with solid all-around contributions. Mikale Stevenson has provided secondary scoring and playmaking, giving Purdue Fort Wayne balance that is difficult to defend. Both teams yield a fair number of points defensively, setting the stage for a potentially close, high-scoring contest.

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

This season’s first meeting between these teams took place early in conference play, with Green Bay winning convincingly in that game. And while each squad has grown and evolved since then, Purdue Fort Wayne leads the overall series historically. In league play this year, Green Bay has shined more consistently at home, while the Mastodons have shown they are capable of winning away from Fort Wayne with their offensive execution.

Purdue Fort Wayne vs Green Bay Model Projection

Score Projection:

Win Probability:

Final Thoughts

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

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