Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Colorado Buffaloes Prediction: Who Advances to 2nd Round Of Big 12 Tourney?

The Oklahoma State Cowboys and Colorado Buffaloes meet Tuesday night in the first round of the Big 12 Men’s Basketball Championship, a game that carries significant implications for both teams’ postseason hopes. Oklahoma State enters as a slight underdog, while Colorado comes in with momentum from its recent performances. With both teams eager to make a run in the tournament, we are expecting to have a fascinating matchup on day one of this tournament at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri.

Our Oklahoma State vs Colorado Pick

Pick:

Confidence: 3 out of 5

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Oklahoma State Cowboys @ Colorado Buffaloes
• Date & Time: Tuesday, March 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
• Venue: T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, Missouri
• Broadcast: ESPN+

Key Storylines

• Colorado won the last regular-season meeting 83-69 and has the edge in recent head-to-head competition.
• Oklahoma State has a potent offense but has struggled in conference play, finishing 6-12.
• Colorado’s bench scoring has been a strength, accounting for a large portion of its offense this season.
• One would think that Oklahoma State will have more support in the stands at this event than Colorado, thanks to the geography of this tournament alone, as it is quite a trip from Colorado to Missouri.

Key Players

Colorado Buffaloes

• Isaiah Johnson: Colorado’s leading scorer at around 17.0 points per game, a freshman who has emerged as one of the team’s primary offensive weapons and also contributes rebounds and assists.
• Bangot Dak: Strong contributor with scoring and rebounding, adding balance to the Buffaloes’ frontline.
• Barrington Hargress: Leads Colorado in assists and chips in scoring, providing playmaking stability and secondary scoring.

Oklahoma State Cowboys

• Anthony Roy: Oklahoma State’s top scorer at roughly 16.7 points per game and a reliable perimeter threat, especially from beyond the arc.
• Parsa Fallah: Produces double‑figure scoring and a team-high six rebounds per game, anchoring the frontcourt when available.
• Vyctorius Miller: Secondary scorer with around 11 points per game, bringing balance to the Cowboys’ scoring arsenal.
• Jaylen Curry: Provides assists and floor leadership in an up‑tempo offense that ranks among the Big 12’s most prolific.

Stat Comparison

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

• The teams last met on February 21, 2026, with Colorado winning 83-69.
• The Cowboys are 62-49 all-time against Colorado.
• Oklahoma State is 14-17 against the spread this season.
• Colorado is 16-15 against the spread entering Tuesday night.

Oklahoma State vs Colorado Model Projection

Score Projection:

Win Probability:

Final Thoughts

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Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

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