The Oklahoma State Cowboys and Colorado Buffaloes meet Tuesday night in the first round of the Big 12 Men’s Basketball Championship, a game that carries significant implications for both teams’ postseason hopes. Oklahoma State enters as a slight underdog, while Colorado comes in with momentum from its recent performances. With both teams eager to make a run in the tournament, we are expecting to have a fascinating matchup on day one of this tournament at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri.
Our Oklahoma State vs Colorado Pick
Pick: Oklahoma State +2.5 ATS PRO
Confidence: 3 out of 5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Oklahoma State Cowboys @ Colorado Buffaloes
- Date & Time: Tuesday, March 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, Missouri
- Broadcast: ESPN+
Key Storylines
- Colorado won the last regular-season meeting 83-69 and has the edge in recent head-to-head competition.
- Oklahoma State has a potent offense but has struggled in conference play, finishing 6-12.
- Colorado’s bench scoring has been a strength, accounting for a large portion of its offense this season.
- One would think that Oklahoma State will have more support in the stands at this event than Colorado, thanks to the geography of this tournament alone, as it is quite a trip from Colorado to Missouri.
Key Players
Colorado Buffaloes
- Isaiah Johnson: Colorado’s leading scorer at around 17.0 points per game, a freshman who has emerged as one of the team’s primary offensive weapons and also contributes rebounds and assists.
- Bangot Dak: Strong contributor with scoring and rebounding, adding balance to the Buffaloes’ frontline.
- Barrington Hargress: Leads Colorado in assists and chips in scoring, providing playmaking stability and secondary scoring.
Oklahoma State Cowboys
- Anthony Roy: Oklahoma State’s top scorer at roughly 16.7 points per game and a reliable perimeter threat, especially from beyond the arc.
- Parsa Fallah: Produces double‑figure scoring and a team-high six rebounds per game, anchoring the frontcourt when available.
- Vyctorius Miller: Secondary scorer with around 11 points per game, bringing balance to the Cowboys’ scoring arsenal.
- Jaylen Curry: Provides assists and floor leadership in an up‑tempo offense that ranks among the Big 12’s most prolific.
Stat Comparison
Statistic | Oklahoma State | Colorado |
|---|
Points per game | 83.9 | 79.9 |
Points allowed per game | 82.5 | 79.0 |
Team Field Goal % | 46% | 47% |
Rebounds Per Game | 37.9 | 34.3 |
Assists Per Game | 14.8 | 15.6 |
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- The teams last met on February 21, 2026, with Colorado winning 83-69.
- The Cowboys are 62-49 all-time against Colorado.
- Oklahoma State is 14-17 against the spread this season.
- Colorado is 16-15 against the spread entering Tuesday night.
Oklahoma State vs Colorado Model Projection
Score Projection: Oklahoma State 80 – Colorado 81 ATS PRO
Win Probability: Oklahoma State 42%, Colorado 58% ATS PRO
Final Thoughts
This Big 12 Tournament opener will be a competitive duel between an offensively gifted Oklahoma State squad and a Colorado team that has shown it can make key plays in clutch moments. While the Cowboys can light up the scoreboard, Colorado’s balanced scoring and recent head-to-head win make it the more reliable pick to advance on Tuesday night. But I think it will be a tight game no matter who wins, and I'll take the points with the dog.
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