Updated November 10, 2025
The New Haven Chargers and UMass Lowell River Hawks will meet in college basketball action on Monday night. The Chargers are struggling while making the jump to Division I and they will try to turn things around against a UMass Lowell team that was destroyed in their first Division I game of the season. Here, I break down this non-conference matchup and bring you my New Haven vs UMass Lowell prediction.
Pick: UMass Lowell −10.5
Confidence: 4/5
New Haven is making the leap into the Division I level they are experiencing some growing pains. The Chargers are 0-3 to start the season and already have been outscored significantly in each outing. Their shooting is shaky at 37.7% from the field. Their defensive numbers are very poor, allowing about 79.0 points per game as they adjust to this level of competition. In fairness to New Haven, they have played UConn and Penn State during their first three games, but they struggled against Columbia as well.
UMass Lowell is 1-1 on the season. They won their first game against a sub-Division I opponent before they were absolutely routed by the UConn Huskies in their most recent game. UConn won that game 110-47 in what was a complete mismatch from start to finish. The River Hawks will try to take advantage of their first realistic chance of beating a Division I opponent here.
Score Projection: New Haven 68 – UMass Lowell 83
Win Probability: New Haven 28%, UMass Lowell 72%
I think that UMass Lowell will get its first win against a Division I opponent on Monday night against New Haven. The Chargers look completely overmatched at the Division I level early in the season, which is not a surprise and not something you can fault them for. But I'll lay the points with Lowell in this game, as they should hand the Chargers their fourth straight double-digit loss to begin the 2025-26 college basketball season.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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