Updated January 7, 2026
The Indiana Hoosiers will travel to College Park to face the Maryland Terrapins in Big Ten action on Wednesday night. Indiana has showcased its offensive firepower early in its 11-3 campaign, while Maryland has been inconsistent through 14 games and remains stuck at 7-7 with an 0-3 conference record. Can the Terps get back on track here at home? Continue reading to find my Indiana vs Maryland prediction below.
Pick: | Indiana -7.5 |
Confidence: | 3/5 |
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Indiana enters this Big Ten road contest on a three-game winning streak and holding an impressive 11-3 overall record. The Hoosiers’ offense is among the more efficient in the country, averaging over 85 points per outing, while their defense limits opponents to just over 67 points per game. Lamar Wilkerson leads Indiana at 19.2 PPG and has been a reliable scoring threat from both inside and beyond the arc. Complementing him is Tucker DeVries, who adds balance and experience to the group, with Conor Enright facilitating at the point with quality assist-to-turnover metrics (4.9). Indiana’s ability to share the ball, with almost 19 assists per game, speaks to an unselfish offensive identity.
Maryland has struggled to find consistency in the 2025-26 season. At 7-7 overall and still searching for its first Big Ten win, the Terrapins have dropped four of their last five games. Their offensive efficiency lags behind Indiana’s, with the Terps shooting just 40% from the field so far this season. The absence of forward Pharrel Payne, out since mid-December with a leg injury, has undercut Maryland’s inside presence. David Coit leads Maryland with 13.3 PPG, but doesn’t provide the same volume threat as Wilkerson. Maryland’s defense has allowed nearly 78 PPG, leaving them vulnerable against elite scoring attacks.
This is a big game when looking at the early standings in the Big Ten. Both of these teams are looking up at undefeated teams like Nebraska and Michigan already. A loss fo rthe Terps would put them even further behind the pace set by those schools, while Indiana can stay within a game in the loss column of those squads in the Big Ten standings with a victory.
Score Projection: Indiana 82 – Maryland 70
Win Probability: Indiana 78%, Maryland 22%
Indiana enters this contest with superior efficiency on both ends of the floor, and are playing better basketball in all phases of the game right now. Maryland's lack of offensive efficiency will cost them again in this game and I will lay the points with the Hoosiers on Wednesday night in College Park.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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