Creighton and Baylor meet Monday in Las Vegas for a marquee nonconference showdown in the Players Era Festival. The Bears enter off a strong 3–0 start, while the Bluejays aim to bounce back after a lopsided loss in their last big test to prove they belong on this stage. I’ve analyzed this game and have made my Creighton vs Baylor prediction, which you can find below.
Our Creighton vs Baylor Pick
- Pick: Baylor –4.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Creighton Bluejays vs Baylor Bears
- Date & Time: Monday, November 24, 2025, 2:00 PM ET
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Paradise, Nevada
- Broadcast: truTV
Key Storylines
- Injury impact for Creighton: Forward Jackson McAndrew is out for the season with a foot injury, weakening Creighton’s frontcourt. He averaged 6.8 points and 4.5 rebounds in limited action earlier.
- Baylor’s offense rolling: The Bears have averaged about 89 points over their first three games. Their offense looks sharp and they are shooting efficiently, though their biggest test so far came against Washington and this could end up being their toughest early-season contest to date.
- Cameron Carr leading the way: Carr is averaging an eye-popping 23.7 PPG through Baylor’s first three games, including a 27-point performance on 10-of-13 shooting.
- Creighton’s early struggles: After a bad loss to Gonzaga (90–63), they responded with a 75–60 win over North Dakota, but their defense remains a concern as they get set to take on their first power conference opponent of the season.
- Tournament stakes: This is part of a high-profile 18-team event in Las Vegas that offers both exposure and a gauge for early-season progress for everyone involved.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Creighton is 1-3 against the spread to start the season.
- Baylor is 1-2 against the spread going into this game.
- Creighton has gone under the total in four straight games to open the year.
- Baylor has gone over the total twice through three games.
Creighton vs Baylor Model Projection
Score Projection: Creighton 74 – Baylor 80
Win Probability: Creighton 37%, Baylor 63%
Final Thoughts
I’m going to roll with Baylor in this contest from Las Vegas. The Bears are shooting 51% from the field as a team to start the season. While I think that Creighton will make them earn things more than anyone Baylor has faced so far this season, I also think that the Bears will do enough offensively to win and cover the number as a favorite behind another impressive effort from Carr.
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