Bowling Green Falcons vs Miami (OH) RedHawks Prediction - 2/20/2026

Friday night’s Mid-American Conference clash between the Bowling Green Falcons and Miami (OH) Redhawks is one of the most significant contests in college basketball this weekend. Miami (OH) enters as the last undefeated team in Division I college basketball at 26-0 overall and 13-0 in MAC play, riding a historic unbeaten run that has garnered national attention and a ranking inside the top 25. Bowling Green sits at 16-11 overall and 7-7 in conference after a tough campaign and they will try to put a serious dent in Miami (OH)'s NCAA Tournament at-large hopes. Before this contest in the MAC, keep reading to get my Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green prediction.

Our Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green Pick

Pick: Miami (OH) -7.5 ATS PRO

Confidence: 4/5

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Bowling Green Falcons @ Miami (OH) RedHawks
• Date & Time: Friday, February 20, 2026, 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Millett Hall, Oxford, Ohio
• Broadcast: CBS Sports Network

Key Storylines

Miami (OH) remains the last untouched team in NCAA Division I men’s basketball this season and has set program and MAC records with its perfect start, climbing into the AP Top 25 along the way. Their offensive efficiency and shooting have been elite throughout this season, though their strength of schedule has been a huge red flag.

Bowling Green has battled ups and downs, with streaks of sharp shooting and cold offensive execution coming on and off throughout the year. The Falcons lost to Miami at home earlier in the campaign despite a strong second-half rally, and will need a near-flawless effort to hang with the RedHawks on the road.

Key Players

Miami (OH) RedHawks

• Peter Suder – The All-MAC caliber guard leads the nation’s last unbeaten team with around 14.8 points per game while also handling much of their playmaking with 4.2 assists and 4.7 rebounds per contest.
• Brant Byers – A top scoring threat who consistently stretches opposing defenses, contributing offensive output and spacing the floor with above-average three-point shooting.
• Luke Skaljac – Delivers scoring and veteran ball handling, often key in late-game situations to maintain the RedHawks’ tempo and consistency.

Bowling Green Falcons

• Javontae Campbell – BGSU’s leading scorer with approximately 18.6 points per game, who also distributes five assists and swipes around three steals per game, anchoring Bowling Green’s backcourt.
• Sam Towns – A double-figure scorer and leading rebounder, averaging roughly 6.6 boards per contest, Towns gives the Falcons toughness inside.

Stat Comparison

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

• Miami claimed the first meeting between these teams this season, winning 93-83 in Bowling Green.
• Miami (OH) is 17-6 against the spread this season.
• Bowling Green is 11-12-1 against the spread going into Friday night.

Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green Model Projection

Score Projection: Miami (OH) 87 – Bowling Green 76 ATS PRO

Win Probability: Miami (OH) 82%, Bowling Green 18% ATS PRO

Final Thoughts

Given Miami (OH)’s historic season, dynamic offense, and home-court advantage, this game should be a continuation of their dominant run in the MAC. Bowling Green has some weapons and the ability to produce scoring, but Miami’s superior efficiency make them the stronger team. I'll lay the points with the RedHawks at home in this one.

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