Updated February 20, 2026
Friday night’s Mid-American Conference clash between the Bowling Green Falcons and Miami (OH) Redhawks is one of the most significant contests in college basketball this weekend. Miami (OH) enters as the last undefeated team in Division I college basketball at 26-0 overall and 13-0 in MAC play, riding a historic unbeaten run that has garnered national attention and a ranking inside the top 25. Bowling Green sits at 16-11 overall and 7-7 in conference after a tough campaign and they will try to put a serious dent in Miami (OH)'s NCAA Tournament at-large hopes. Before this contest in the MAC, keep reading to get my Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green prediction.
Pick: Miami (OH) -7.5 ATS PRO
Confidence: 4/5
Miami (OH) remains the last untouched team in NCAA Division I men’s basketball this season and has set program and MAC records with its perfect start, climbing into the AP Top 25 along the way. Their offensive efficiency and shooting have been elite throughout this season, though their strength of schedule has been a huge red flag.
Bowling Green has battled ups and downs, with streaks of sharp shooting and cold offensive execution coming on and off throughout the year. The Falcons lost to Miami at home earlier in the campaign despite a strong second-half rally, and will need a near-flawless effort to hang with the RedHawks on the road.
Stat | Miami (OH) | Bowling Green |
|---|---|---|
Points per game | 92.3 | 81.9 |
Points allowed per game | 74.4 | 70.5 |
Team Field Goal % | 53% | 48% |
Rebounds per game | 36.1 | 35.6 |
Assists per game | 17.0 | 14.4 |
Score Projection: Miami (OH) 87 – Bowling Green 76 ATS PRO
Win Probability: Miami (OH) 82%, Bowling Green 18% ATS PRO
Given Miami (OH)’s historic season, dynamic offense, and home-court advantage, this game should be a continuation of their dominant run in the MAC. Bowling Green has some weapons and the ability to produce scoring, but Miami’s superior efficiency make them the stronger team. I'll lay the points with the RedHawks at home in this one.
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