Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins Prediction - 11/11/2025
Updated November 11, 2025
Updated November 11, 2025
The Toronto Maple Leafs and Boston Bruins will meet in the NHL on Tuesday night at TD Garden. These teams are separated by just three points in a highly competitive Atlantic Division. But that is the difference between being in second place in the division and seventh place in the division. Before this matchup begins from Denver, continue reading to get my Maple Leafs vs Bruins prediction.
Pick: Boston Bruins Moneyline
Confidence: 3/5
The Bruins come into this meeting with momentum, having picked up a 5‑3 road victory over the Maple Leafs in their last game. Boston’s offense is clicking and they have won six games in a row going into this matchup. Toronto has lost two games in a row and they will try to snap that losing streak by clamping down on defense after allowing 10 goals in two games.
Toronto is averaging over 3.7 goals allowed per game, placing them near the bottom of the league in that category. Boston is allowing around 3.3 goals per game, which is not elite but notably better than Toronto’s numbers. Anthony Stolarz will likely get in net for the Leafs and Jeremy Swayman for the Bruins.
William Nylander (8 goals, 15 assists in 13 games) and John Tavares (9 goals, 12 assists) will need to continue to produce offensively for the Leafs to win tonight. Their power play is converting at just around 17% on the season and that is an issue going into this matchup. Boston is led by David Pastrňák (8 goals, 11 assists) and Morgan Geekie has injected new life into their attack with 11 goals in 17 games.
Player | Prop |
|---|---|
William Nylander (TOR) | Over 0.5 Points |
John Tavares (TOR) | Over 0.5 Goals |
David Pastrňák (BOS) | Over 1.5 Points |
Morgan Geekie (BOS) | Over 0.5 Goals |
Score Projection: Boston Bruins 4 – Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Win Probability: Toronto Maple Leafs 42% | Boston Bruins 58%
I'm going to take the Boston Bruins to win at home in this matchup from TD Garden on Tuesday night. The Bruins have turned things around after a slow start to the season, with Geekie breathing new life into them of late. Expect Boston to get a seventh win in a row and for them to win a second straight game over Toronto early in the season.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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