Islanders vs Sharks Player Props: Schaefer's Point Market Stands Out

Henrik NormanSenior Sports & Prediction Markets Analyst

Updated November 9, 2026

Matthew Schaefer 1+ Point YES is available at 66¢ on Polymarket US, and that's my preferred player prop for Monday's Islanders vs Sharks matchup.

The Islanders defenseman has recorded a point in 12 of his 16 appearances this season. He's also been one of New York's most important offensive players, which is remarkable considering he's still only 19.

San Jose has lost five consecutive games, and its defensive struggles make this a particularly interesting matchup.

Player Prop to Watch

Matthew Schaefer 1+ Point YES | Polymarket US | 66¢

Schaefer has 16 points through 16 games, including five goals and 11 assists. He's been even better recently, collecting 14 points over his last 12 appearances.

The 66¢ contract is attractive because Schaefer doesn't necessarily need the Islanders to dominate offensively. He's contributing through goals and assists, and his involvement in New York's attack gives him several opportunities to get on the scoresheet.

His 1+ assist market is also available at 55¢, but I prefer the additional flexibility of the points contract.

My estimated probability is 70–73%, leaving a modest advantage over the observed market price.

San Jose's Defense Remains a Problem

The Sharks have struggled to keep opponents off the scoresheet, entering Monday with a minus-21 goal differential and just two regulation victories.

Their penalty kill hasn't helped matters, operating at 76.5% this season. That could become important against Schaefer, who continues to play significant minutes in all situations for New York.

San Jose's goaltending numbers aren't particularly encouraging either. Yaroslav Askarov has a 3.35 goals-against average and an .885 save percentage, while Alex Nedeljkovic has posted a 3.23 GAA and an .895 save percentage.

Neither has provided consistent stability behind the Sharks' defense.

Celebrini Gives San Jose a Fighting Chance

The other major storyline is the meeting between the NHL's last two first-overall draft selections.

Macklin Celebrini has 21 points through 17 games and remains the Sharks' most dangerous offensive player. He recorded three assists against Dallas on Saturday, despite another San Jose defeat.

Polymarket has Celebrini 2+ Points YES available at 33¢, which is an interesting alternative for anyone expecting a big performance from the Sharks captain.

However, San Jose's offensive inconsistency makes me less enthusiastic about that position. Celebrini can create opportunities, but his teammates haven't always been able to finish them.

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