Edmonton Oilers vs Calgary Flames NHL Prediction 10/29/22
Updated October 26, 2026
Updated October 26, 2026
Historical NHL betting preview, updated with the final result and betting outcomes.
The Battle of Alberta returned to Calgary on Saturday, October 29, 2022, with the Edmonton Oilers visiting the Calgary Flames at Scotiabank Saddledome. Both teams entered in strong form, and the rivalry was still fueled by Edmonton's victory over Calgary in the previous season's Stanley Cup Playoffs.
The Flames had won the first meeting of the 2022–23 regular season, defeating Edmonton 4–3 on October 15. Calgary was favored again in the rematch, but the original ATS.io prediction backed the Oilers to win on the road at +120.
That selection proved correct.
Final score: Edmonton Oilers 3, Calgary Flames 2. Edmonton erased a third-period deficit behind Connor McDavid and Zach Hyman, while Stuart Skinner delivered an outstanding performance in goal.
This restored preview preserves Chase Ruttig's original betting selection and pregame reasoning, then examines the final result, key performances, and historical betting outcomes.
For current hockey picks, visit ATS.io's NHL betting coverage.
Game details | Information |
|---|---|
Competition | NHL 2022–23 regular season |
Date | Saturday, October 29, 2022 |
Start time | 10:00 PM ET |
Venue | Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary |
Away team | Edmonton Oilers |
Home team | Calgary Flames |
Final score | Oilers 3, Flames 2 |
Original ATS.io pick | Edmonton Oilers ML (+120) |
Betting result | Win |
Winning goaltender | Stuart Skinner |
Losing goaltender | Jacob Markstrom |
Edmonton improved to 6-3-0 with the victory, while Calgary fell to 5-2-0.
The Oilers also remained undefeated on the road, improving to 3-0-0 away from Rogers Place.
Calgary outshot Edmonton 42–26, but Skinner's 40 saves gave the visitors the foundation for a comeback.
McDavid scored the tying goal midway through the third period and assisted on Hyman's winner just over three minutes later.
The original ATS.io article included historical moneyline, puck-line, and total-goals prices.
The featured moneyline selection was Edmonton +120 at BetMGM.
The archived matchup module also displayed consensus prices from other sportsbooks.
Betting market | Edmonton Oilers | Calgary Flames |
|---|---|---|
Moneyline consensus | +125 | -145 |
Puck line | +1.5 (-200) | -1.5 (+170) |
Original ATS.io pick | Oilers ML +120 | — |
The archived total was 6.5 goals, with prices of +110 and -130 displayed in the matchup module. The pasted archive does not reliably establish which price belonged to each side, so those prices are preserved without assigning them to over or under.
All odds are historical prices from October 2022. They are no longer available for betting, and prices varied between sportsbooks.
Calgary entered as the favorite at approximately -145.
That price implied a 59.2% chance of winning before adjusting for the sportsbook's margin.
Edmonton's +125 consensus moneyline implied a 44.4% probability.
The original ATS.io selection at +120 implied a 45.5% probability.
The market gave Calgary an advantage based on home ice, its strong start, and the Oilers' demanding schedule.
However, Edmonton's attacking talent and recent road performances created a reasonable case for backing the underdog.
The Pick: Edmonton Oilers Moneyline (+120)
The original article identified three primary reasons to back Edmonton:
Those arguments formed the basis of the original moneyline recommendation.
The prediction was not a puck-line or total-goals selection.
Edmonton entered the matchup looking to complete its first extended road trip of the season.
The Oilers had won their previous two games, defeating the St. Louis Blues and Chicago Blackhawks on consecutive nights.
Those victories demonstrated the team's ability to generate offense away from home.
Edmonton was particularly dangerous because of its elite top-end talent.
Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl could change a game with individual plays, while Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Zach Hyman provided additional scoring options.
The Oilers arrived in Calgary following an impressive stretch.
They had defeated St. Louis 3–1 on October 26 before beating Chicago 6–5 on October 27.
The victory over Chicago featured another extraordinary performance from McDavid, who scored a hat trick.
Edmonton's offense was producing, although the five goals conceded against Chicago highlighted concerns about defensive consistency.
The Flames represented a more demanding opponent, particularly given Calgary's defensive structure and strong home record.
McDavid was the centerpiece of Edmonton's betting case.
He entered the contest following a three-goal performance against the Blackhawks.
His speed, puck control, and ability to create opportunities made him a constant threat.
The original article also highlighted McDavid's history against Calgary.
During the 2022 playoffs, he scored the series-winning overtime goal in Game 5 of Edmonton's second-round victory over the Flames.
That moment remained fresh in the rivalry heading into the October rematch.
McDavid's ability to deliver in high-pressure situations gave Edmonton a significant advantage whenever the game remained close.
Nugent-Hopkins was another important part of the original preview.
He had scored in three consecutive games and entered the matchup with 11 points through eight games.
His contributions extended beyond scoring.
Nugent-Hopkins was valuable on the power play, supported Edmonton's top offensive players, and provided versatility across different line combinations.
Against Calgary, that secondary production could reduce the pressure on McDavid and Draisaitl.
The original article expected Jack Campbell to start.
Campbell had joined Edmonton after playing for the Toronto Maple Leafs and entered the game with a 4-2 record.
However, his .888 save percentage raised questions about his early-season consistency.
That was one of the main risks in backing Edmonton.
Calgary was capable of generating sustained offensive pressure, and the Oilers needed dependable goaltending to secure a road victory.
The actual starter was Stuart Skinner, not Campbell.
That change became one of the defining factors in the outcome.
Skinner stopped 40 of 42 shots, delivering the kind of performance Edmonton needed against a strong Calgary team.
Calgary entered the game with a 5-1-0 record.
The Flames had won three of their first four games during a seven-game homestand and were enjoying a successful start under head coach Darryl Sutter.
They were also well rested.
Calgary had last played on Tuesday, October 25, defeating the Pittsburgh Penguins 4–1.
Edmonton, by comparison, was playing its third road game in four nights.
That scheduling advantage was an important reason the Flames entered as favorites.
The Flames had won consecutive games against Carolina and Pittsburgh.
They defeated the Hurricanes 3–2 in overtime on October 22 before producing a convincing 4–1 victory over the Penguins.
Those results reflected Calgary's ability to compete against quality opposition.
The team had undergone significant roster changes during the offseason but remained competitive.
Jonathan Huberdeau and Nazem Kadri were among the new additions expected to help replace departed offensive production.
Sutter emphasized defensive responsibility, physical play, and disciplined positioning.
The Flames had several experienced defenders capable of supporting that approach.
Rasmus Andersson, Noah Hanifin, Chris Tanev, and MacKenzie Weegar provided a strong defensive foundation.
Calgary's ability to limit scoring opportunities was especially important against Edmonton.
Containing McDavid and Draisaitl required coordinated defensive coverage rather than relying on individual matchups alone.
The original article identified uncertainty surrounding Calgary's starting goaltender.
Jacob Markstrom was the established starter, but he had struggled against Edmonton in previous meetings.
Dan Vladar had started the first Battle of Alberta matchup of the season, stopping 26 of 29 shots in Calgary's 4–3 victory.
Sutter had to decide between returning to Markstrom or using Vladar again.
Markstrom ultimately started the October 29 rematch.
He made 22 saves on 25 shots in the 3–2 defeat.
Although Calgary controlled much of the game territorially, Edmonton's top offensive players converted their most important opportunities.
The rivalry between Edmonton and Calgary is one of the most intense in professional hockey.
Both teams represent Alberta, and their meetings regularly attract considerable attention.
The rivalry had become particularly heated during the 2021–22 season.
The teams met in the second round of the 2022 Stanley Cup Playoffs.
Edmonton won the series 4–1.
After losing Game 1, the Oilers won four consecutive games to eliminate Calgary.
McDavid scored the overtime winner in Game 5, sending Edmonton to the Western Conference Final.
That result was an important part of the original October 2022 betting argument.
The Oilers had demonstrated they could win important games against Calgary, including on the road.
Calgary won the first regular-season meeting 4–3 in Edmonton on October 15.
Vladar earned the victory in goal.
The result gave Calgary an early advantage in the season series.
The October 29 rematch offered Edmonton an opportunity to respond.
Rivalry games can produce greater intensity, physical play, and emotional swings.
However, those factors are difficult to quantify.
The stronger betting case for Edmonton centered on its offensive talent, road form, and ability to win close games.
The Oilers' previous playoff success provided useful context but did not guarantee another victory.
Original pick: Edmonton Oilers ML (+120)
The original recommendation was built around Edmonton's ability to produce offense against a familiar opponent.
McDavid was in outstanding form, and the Oilers had demonstrated that they could win away from home.
Calgary's strong record and rest advantage were legitimate concerns.
However, the +120 price offered a larger potential return than backing the favored Flames.
The Oilers entered with a perfect road record.
Their offensive production had remained strong throughout the opening weeks of the season.
McDavid was capable of creating goals even against well-organized defenses.
Edmonton also had recent playoff experience winning in Calgary.
Those factors made the underdog moneyline an interesting option.
The schedule was demanding.
Edmonton had played in St. Louis on Wednesday and Chicago on Thursday before traveling to Calgary for Saturday's game.
The Flames were rested and playing at home.
Goaltending was another concern.
The original preview expected Campbell, whose early save percentage had been disappointing.
Calgary's ability to generate shots and maintain offensive pressure created a clear risk for Edmonton backers.
The original betting case proved successful, although the game unfolded differently than expected.
Edmonton did not dominate possession or shot volume.
Calgary outshot the Oilers 42–26 and led entering the third period.
Instead, Edmonton relied on outstanding goaltending and timely scoring from McDavid and Hyman.
The decision to start Skinner rather than Campbell proved particularly important.
The original selection won, but the game also illustrated how a correct moneyline prediction can depend on factors that differ from the pregame analysis.
The game began with both teams playing cautiously.
Neither side scored during the opening period.
The second period brought three goals, with Calgary taking a 2–1 advantage.
Edmonton then produced a third-period comeback to secure the victory.
Both teams generated opportunities during the first period, but neither found the net.
Calgary attempted to establish its physical style and apply pressure in Edmonton's defensive zone.
The Oilers looked for opportunities to counterattack through McDavid and their other offensive players.
Skinner and Markstrom kept the game scoreless heading into the second period.
Calgary opened the scoring at 4:29 of the second period.
Mikael Backlund scored a shorthanded goal, assisted by Elias Lindholm.
The goal gave the Flames a 1–0 advantage despite Edmonton being on the power play.
The Oilers responded almost immediately.
At 5:02, Zach Hyman scored a power-play goal to tie the game 1–1.
McDavid and Draisaitl assisted.
Calgary regained the lead at 16:06 when Brett Ritchie scored at even strength.
Trevor Lewis and Milan Lucic provided the assists.
The Flames entered the third period ahead 2–1.
Edmonton needed a comeback.
At 9:02 of the third period, McDavid scored his ninth goal of the season.
Cody Ceci and Dylan Holloway assisted.
The goal tied the game 2–2 and shifted momentum toward Edmonton.
McDavid's ability to create a scoring opportunity from a difficult angle demonstrated why he was such a dangerous player.
At 12:24, Hyman scored his second goal of the game.
McDavid provided the assist.
The goal gave Edmonton a 3–2 lead with 7:36 remaining.
Calgary pushed for an equalizer, but Skinner protected the advantage.
The Oilers held on for a one-goal victory.
Period | Time | Team | Goalscorer | Situation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2nd | 4:29 | Calgary | Mikael Backlund | Shorthanded |
2nd | 5:02 | Edmonton | Zach Hyman | Power play |
2nd | 16:06 | Calgary | Brett Ritchie | Even strength |
3rd | 9:02 | Edmonton | Connor McDavid | Even strength |
3rd | 12:24 | Edmonton | Zach Hyman | Even strength |
Edmonton scored the final two goals.
The Oilers' third-period comeback turned a likely Calgary victory into a winning result for Edmonton moneyline bettors.
Statistic | Edmonton | Calgary |
|---|---|---|
Goals | 3 | 2 |
Shots on goal | 26 | 42 |
Power-play goals | 1 | 0 |
Power-play opportunities | 4 | 3 |
Faceoffs won | 35 | 33 |
Penalties | 3 | 4 |
First-period goals | 0 | 0 |
Second-period goals | 1 | 2 |
Third-period goals | 2 | 0 |
Calgary controlled the shot count.
The Flames registered 16 more shots on goal than Edmonton.
However, Edmonton converted three of its 26 shots and received exceptional goaltending from Skinner.
The Oilers also scored on the power play, while Calgary failed to convert any of its three opportunities.
Those differences helped determine the outcome.
McDavid was central to Edmonton's victory.
He assisted on Hyman's second-period power-play goal.
He then scored the tying goal in the third period before setting up Hyman's winner.
His three-point performance continued an outstanding start to the season.
McDavid finished the game with nine goals, leading the NHL at that stage.
His production validated one of the original article's central arguments: Edmonton's captain could decide a game against Calgary even when the Oilers were under sustained pressure.
Hyman scored Edmonton's first and third goals.
His first came on the power play, tying the game in the second period.
His second was the game-winner.
Hyman's ability to contribute around the net gave Edmonton another scoring threat beyond McDavid and Draisaitl.
He finished the game with six goals on the season.
Skinner delivered one of the most important performances of the night.
He stopped 40 of 42 shots, recording a .952 save percentage.
Calgary generated sustained offensive pressure, but Skinner kept Edmonton within reach.
His performance allowed the Oilers to complete the comeback.
The original preview's goaltending concerns were reasonable, but the actual starter provided a major advantage.
Markstrom made 22 saves on 25 shots.
He entered the game with a strong record but suffered his first loss of the season.
Although Calgary controlled much of the play, Edmonton capitalized on its most important opportunities.
Backlund opened the scoring with a shorthanded goal.
Ritchie restored Calgary's lead late in the second period.
Both players contributed offensively, but the Flames were unable to protect their advantage during the final period.
The final score settled the original moneyline selection and several other common NHL betting markets.
Historical betting market | Result |
|---|---|
Edmonton Oilers ML +120 | Won |
Edmonton Oilers ML +125 | Won |
Calgary Flames ML -145 | Lost |
Edmonton +1.5 (-200) | Won |
Calgary -1.5 (+170) | Lost |
Over 6.5 goals | Lost |
Under 6.5 goals | Won |
Edmonton to score 3+ goals | Won |
Calgary to score 3+ goals | Lost |
The game produced five total goals.
That meant under 6.5 goals was the winning total.
Edmonton's one-goal victory also meant the Oilers covered the +1.5 puck line.
The Flames failed to cover -1.5.
A hypothetical $100 wager on the original ATS.io selection would have produced:
Bet detail | Amount |
|---|---|
Stake | $100 |
Original odds | +120 |
Profit | $120 |
Total payout | $220 |
The selection generated a 120% profit relative to the original stake.
At the archived consensus price of +125, the same winning $100 wager would have returned $125 in profit.
That difference illustrates why comparing sportsbook prices matters.
The teams combined for five goals.
Under 6.5 won comfortably.
Despite the offensive talent involved, Calgary's 42 shots did not translate into enough goals to push the total above the closing threshold.
Skinner's performance was the most important factor.
Edmonton won outright, meaning the +1.5 puck line also cashed.
However, the original -200 price offered a smaller potential return than the moneyline.
At -200, a $100 wager would have generated $50 in profit.
The +120 moneyline was the more rewarding of the two winning Edmonton selections.
The original ATS.io preview identified several reasons to support Edmonton as an underdog.
Some proved directly relevant to the result.
The original article highlighted McDavid's scoring form and history against Calgary.
He delivered a goal and two assists, contributing to all three Edmonton goals.
His third-period production turned the game around.
The Oilers entered with a 2-0 road record.
They improved to 3-0 with the victory.
Their ability to win away from home was one of the original betting arguments, and it remained intact.
The Oilers trailed 2–1 entering the third period.
Their elite offensive players created two decisive goals.
That ability to generate scoring opportunities under pressure was central to their success.
The original article expected Campbell to start and identified goaltending as a potential weakness.
Skinner's 40-save performance changed that assessment.
He was arguably Edmonton's most important player outside McDavid.
The Flames generated 42 shots but scored only twice.
Edmonton needed just 26 shots to score three goals.
The difference in goaltending and finishing efficiency helped the underdog secure the victory.
The Oilers' victory evened the early-season Battle of Alberta series at one win apiece.
It also continued Edmonton's strong start.
The Oilers eventually finished the regular season with a 50-23-9 record and 109 points.
They placed second in the Pacific Division.
McDavid produced an extraordinary season, leading the NHL with 64 goals and 153 points.
Edmonton advanced to the second round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs before losing to the eventual champion Vegas Golden Knights.
Calgary finished with a 38-27-17 record and 93 points.
The Flames missed the playoffs, finishing two points behind the Winnipeg Jets for the final Western Conference wild-card position.
Their season was defined by numerous close games and overtime losses.
The disappointing result eventually contributed to major organizational changes.
The October 29 matchup came during a period of transition for both clubs.
Edmonton was building around McDavid and Draisaitl.
Calgary was adjusting to the departures of Johnny Gaudreau and Matthew Tkachuk, while integrating Huberdeau, Kadri, and Weegar.
The rivalry remained intense, but the teams followed different trajectories during the remainder of the season.
The October 29 game illustrates several important principles for evaluating NHL moneylines.
Calgary outshot Edmonton 42–26.
Ordinarily, generating that many more shots creates a significant advantage.
However, Skinner stopped 40 shots and kept Edmonton in the game.
Goaltending performance can substantially influence the outcome, particularly in close matchups.
McDavid contributed to all three Edmonton goals.
His third-period production turned a one-goal deficit into a victory.
Bettors evaluating teams with elite offensive talent should consider their ability to generate scoring opportunities even when the overall run of play favors the opponent.
Calgary entered with several days of rest.
Edmonton was completing a demanding road trip.
The scheduling advantage favored the Flames, but the Oilers still won.
Rest and travel are important considerations, but they must be evaluated alongside team quality, goaltending, and matchup characteristics.
Edmonton's +120 price offered a larger potential return than backing Calgary at -145.
The Oilers were capable of winning despite entering as underdogs.
However, the fact that the bet won does not independently prove the pregame odds offered positive expected value.
A profitable betting decision requires comparing the price with a realistic assessment of the team's chances.
Edmonton's 2022 playoff victory over Calgary was relevant to the original preview.
However, both teams had undergone roster changes.
Past results can help explain a matchup, but they should not replace analysis of current lineups, form, and goaltending.
For more hockey analysis, visit ATS.io's NHL picks and the NHL matchup center.
The Edmonton Oilers won 3–2 at Scotiabank Saddledome.
Chase Ruttig selected Edmonton Oilers moneyline at +120.
Yes. Edmonton won outright, making the +120 selection a winner.
The archived matchup module listed Edmonton at +125 and Calgary at -145. The original ATS.io pick was Edmonton +120.
Zach Hyman scored the game-winner at 12:24 of the third period.
McDavid recorded three points, with one goal and two assists.
Hyman scored twice.
Stuart Skinner started and made 40 saves.
No. Although the original preview expected Campbell to start, Skinner was Edmonton's goaltender.
Jacob Markstrom started and made 22 saves.
The Flames recorded 42 shots on goal.
Yes. Edmonton won outright and therefore covered +1.5.
No. The teams combined for five goals, so under 6.5 won.
It would have generated $120 in profit, for a total payout of $220.
Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, Alberta.
Calgary led Edmonton 2–1.
The Oilers improved to 3-0-0 away from home.
Calgary won the October 15, 2022 matchup 4–3 in Edmonton.
The October 29, 2022 Battle of Alberta delivered another close contest between two rivals.
Calgary entered as the favorite, supported by strong home form and a significant rest advantage.
Edmonton, however, brought elite offensive talent and an unbeaten road record.
The Flames controlled the shot count and led entering the third period, but the Oilers' biggest stars delivered when it mattered.
McDavid scored the equalizer and assisted on Hyman's winning goal.
Skinner's 40 saves preserved the victory.
The original ATS.io selection of Edmonton +120 was successful.
→ Our Take: Edmonton was a worthwhile underdog to consider given McDavid's form and the Oilers' strong road start. The original preview correctly identified those advantages, and McDavid's three-point performance was decisive. Skinner's outstanding goaltending was the additional factor that turned a difficult road matchup into a 3–2 victory. At +120, the Oilers delivered a profitable result for bettors who followed the original moneyline pick.
Updated October 26, 2026
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