New York Jets vs New England Patriots Prediction - 11/13/2025
Updated November 12, 2025
Updated November 12, 2025
The New York Jets and New England Patriots will open Week 11 of the NFL season on Thursday Night Football. New England is a heavy favorite going into this contest as they look to extend their lead at the top of the AFC East. But the Jets have won two games in a row and they will try to upset their AFC East rivals here. Before kickoff from Foxborough, continue reading to get my Jets vs Patriots prediction.
Patriots quarterback Drake Maye continues to ascend early in his pro career. He has accumulated 2,555 passing yards with 19 touchdown passes and only five interceptions through 10 games. Maye has become one of the favorites to win this year's NFL MVP award and will try to keep rolling going in this game.
The Jets’ quarterback situation remains more fraught. Justin Fields has struggled mightily throughout the year. He has thrown for just 1,143 yards, six touchdowns, and one interception. Fields is good at making plays with his legs, but he is expected to struggle throwing the ball given the Patriots’ strong pass defense.
Score Projection: New England Patriots 27 – New York Jets 17
Win Probability: Patriots 73%, Jets 27%
The Patriots should get the job done at home against the Jets in Week 11. But I don't love the idea of laying this big a number with the Pats. New England should win comfortably enough in this contest to be able to take their foot off the gas late in this game. I'll go with the Jets to cover the spread as close to a two-touchdown underdog, though I understandably don't feel great about backing the Jets either.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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