Cowboys vs Eagles Player Props: Top 3 Predictions for MNF Week 7
Updated October 23, 2026
*Note: The prices listed above reflect current trading on Polymarket and are subject to change before kickoff.
Updated October 23, 2026
*Note: The prices listed above reflect current trading on Polymarket and are subject to change before kickoff.
The Dallas Cowboys travel to Philadelphia to face the Eagles on Monday Night Football in Week 7. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET on October 26 at Lincoln Financial Field, with the game airing on ESPN and ABC.
Both teams enter at 2-4 and are looking to bounce back from Week 6 losses. Dallas fell 23-13 to Green Bay, while Philadelphia suffered a 25-14 defeat to Carolina. The Eagles will also be without Jalen Hurts, who is expected to miss the rest of the season due to blood clots, leaving Tanner McKee as their starting quarterback.
Rather than focusing on the side or total, I'm targeting three NFL player props that I think offer value at their current Polymarket trading prices. Below, I'll break down my predictions for Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, and DeVonta Smith, along with the stats, trends, and matchups supporting each one.
League-Leading Passing Volume
Dallas leads the NFL with a 70.4% pass rate, while Prescott has attempted 246 passes through six games (41 per game). He's also thrown for more than 250 yards in five straight games, including a season-high 54 attempts against Green Bay last week. That volume gives him plenty of opportunities to throw multiple touchdowns.
Favorable Matchup Against Philadelphia
The Eagles rank 26th in passing yards allowed (244.5 per game) and have surrendered eight passing touchdowns through six games. Philadelphia also has the NFL's fifth-lowest blitz rate (24.1%), which could benefit Prescott after he posted a passer rating of just 67.2 against the blitz over his last two games.
Potential Bounce-Back Spot
Prescott threw just one touchdown against Green Bay last week, but he had chances for more. He threw two interceptions in the red zone despite attempting 54 passes overall. With nine red-zone touchdown passes already this season, he could have better results if he avoids those mistakes against Philadelphia.
Recommended Prediction:
Prescott 2+ Pass TDs (Yes)
Current Market Price:
57¢
Model Over Probability:
63.7%
Market-Implied Probability:
57.0%
Model Edge:
+6.7%
Buy Up To:
62¢
Model Confidence:
75/100
Favorable Matchup Against Dallas
The Cowboys allow 168.7 receiving yards per game to wide receivers, ranking 26th in the NFL. Nico Collins (118 yards) and Matthew Golden (104 yards) have both topped 100 yards against Dallas this season, while Green Bay's receivers combined for 200 yards last week.
McKee's Favorite Target
DeVonta Smith received 14 targets in Tanner McKee's first start against Carolina last week, accounting for roughly 31% of his 45 pass attempts. He finished with seven catches for 75 yards and a touchdown, clearing the 70-yard mark despite catching just half of his targets.
Potentially Pass-Heavy Game Script
Philadelphia enters as a 4.5-point underdog, which could force McKee to throw frequently again if the Eagles fall behind. Smith also has a history of producing against Dallas, recording 120 receiving yards in December 2024 and 89 yards in November 2025.
Recommended Prediction:
Smith 70+ Rec Yds (Yes)
Current Market Price:
51¢
Model Over Probability:
57.3%
Market-Implied Probability:
51.0%
Model Edge:
+6.3%
Buy Up To:
56¢
Model Confidence:
73/100
High Red-Zone Usage
Lamb has 12 red-zone targets through six games, ranking second among NFL receivers, with a 31.6% target share. That's encouraging against an Eagles defense allowing 3.83 red-zone targets per game to wide receivers (tied for most in the NFL) and 1.17 receiving touchdowns per game to the position (tied for third-most).
Favorable Matchup Against Zone Coverage
The Eagles use zone coverage on roughly 67.4% of snaps, and Lamb has been more productive against zone this season, averaging 3.00 yards per route run compared to 2.26 against man. Opposing offenses also direct 64.4% of their targets to wide receivers against Philadelphia, the third-highest rate in the NFL.
Dallas' Pass-Heavy Offense
The Cowboys rank fourth in pass rate over expected (+4.1%) and ninth in red-zone pass rate (58%). Lamb has already scored four touchdowns in six games, finding the end zone in three of them. He also ranks second among NFL receivers with 50 first-read targets, showing how frequently Prescott looks his way.
Recommended Prediction:
Lamb Anytime TD (Yes)
Current Market Price:
45¢
Model TD Probability:
50.9%
Market-Implied Probability:
45.0%
Model Edge:
+5.9%
Buy Up To:
50¢
Model Confidence:
71/100
The Cowboys enter Monday night's matchup with their NFC East rivals as clear favorites following the news that Jalen Hurts is expected to miss the remainder of the season. Dallas is trading at 65¢ to win on Polymarket, while its -4.5 spread is priced at 48¢.
The total is set around 44.5 points, with the Over trading at 49¢. Despite Dallas' defensive struggles this season, our Cowboys vs Eagles prediction model leans toward the Under, suggesting this could be a lower-scoring game than some might expect.
