San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets Pick & Preview – 1/28/2026

The San Antonio Spurs and Houston Rockets will meet on Wednesday night in their third Texas clash of the season. Both teams got a win over one another earlier this season and they will meet again here in an important battle of top four teams in the Western Conference. Before these star-led rosters go at it in H-Town, you will find my Spurs vs Rockets prediction below.

Our Spurs vs Rockets Pick

Pick:

Confidence: 3/5

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: San Antonio Spurs @ Houston Rockets
• Date & Time: Wednesday, January 28, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
• Venue: Toyota Center, Houston, TX
• Broadcast: ESPN

Key Storylines

• Recent meetings: Houston held Victor Wembanyama to 14 points on 5-for-21 shooting and closed with a dominant fourth quarter to win 111-106 on January 20. Before that, the Spurs defeated the Rockets 121-110 in November.
• Injury picture: Houston is still without Steven Adams due to a Grade 3 ankle sprain and Fred VanVleet is out for the season with a knee issue. Tari Eason has returned to the rotation for the Rockets. San Antonio has leaned on Wembanyama and De’Aaron Fox while getting steady wing minutes from Julian Champagnie and Harrison Barnes. Jeremy Sochan is questionable with a quad issue, but the injury report is not crowded on San Antonio’s side.
• Star production: Wembanyama is leading the Spurs at 24.2 points and 11.1 rebounds per game. Kevin Durant leads Houston at 26.4 points per game, with Alperen Sengun contributing 9.0 rebounds and 6.4 assists on average.
• Styles and pace: San Antonio has run near league average in pace but has been efficient offensively. Houston plays slower, yet sits top-10 in offensive rating and top-10 in points allowed, helped by elite defensive rebounding even with Adams out.

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

• These teams are 1-1 against each other so far this season.
• The home team is 2-0 in the previous meetings between the Spurs and Rockets.
• Houston is 21-23 against the spread so far this season.
• The Spurs are 23-22-2 against the spread entering Wednesday night.
• The under is 23-20-1 in Rockets games this year.
• The under is 29-18 in Spurs games this season, the highest percentage of unders in the NBA.

Spurs vs Rockets Model Projection

Final Thoughts

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

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