The Phoenix Suns and Memphis Grizzlies will meet in a Western Conference contest in the NBA on Wednesday night. Phoenix enters as a modest favorite against a Grizzlies team on the second night of a back-to-back. Memphis just eked out a comeback win over San Antonio on Tuesday despite missing some key players. Can they get a second win in as many nights? Continue reading to get my Suns vs Grizzlies prediction in the NBA.
Our Suns vs Grizzlies Pick
Pick: | Suns -4.5 |
Confidence: | 3/5 |
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Phoenix Suns @ Memphis Grizzlies
- Date & Time: Wednesday, January 7, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: FedExForum, Memphis, TN
- Broadcast: NBA League Pass
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Key Storylines
- Phoenix holds a better record than Memphis this season and has a rest advantage going into this game as well. The Suns have a losing record on the road for the season, but they can get back to the .500 mark with a victory in Memphis here.
- Memphis is playing on back‑to‑back nights after a victory over San Antonio on Tuesday, potentially impacting their energy levels in this game. Memphis has key contributors listed as out or day‑to‑day, including Ja Morant (calf), Cedric Coward (ankle), and Scotty Pippen Jr. (toe), which could limit their offensive firepower. Memphis’ big man Zach Edey remains sidelined with a long‑term ankle issue, removing an interior presence that could have balanced the matchup.
- Phoenix has Jamaree Bouyea (concussion) and Jalen Green (hamstring) unavailable for this game. Green is an especially big loss for the Suns, as he was brought in to be an offensive replacement when Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal departed in the offseason. Devin Booker has put up huge offensive numbers with Green out, but Booker could use some help at some point this season for the Suns to reach their full potential.
Head‑to‑Head & Betting Trends
- The Grizzlies defeated the Suns by one point in their first meeting of the season.
- The Suns are an NBA-best 25-11 against the spread this season.
- Memphis is 16-20 against the spread going into Wednesday night.
- The under is 22-14 in games involving the Grizzlies this season.
- Phoenix has stayed under the total in 20 of their 36 games this year.
Best Player Props to Watch
Player | Prop |
|---|
Devin Booker | Over 26.5 Points |
Ja Morant | Under 18.5 Points |
Mark Williams | Over 8.5 Rebounds |
Suns vs Grizzlies Model Projection
Score Projection: Phoenix Suns 117 – Memphis Grizzlies 110
Win Probability: Suns 61%, Grizzlies 39%
Final Thoughts
I'll lay the points with the Phoenix Suns in this contest in Phoenix. The Grizzlies are banged up enough as it is and adding a back-to-back into the mix isn't likely to help them here. Expect another big game from Devin Booker and for the Suns to improve to 10-10 on the road for the season.
Jay Sanin
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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