Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Prop Picks - 1/3/2026

Updated January 3, 2026


Updated January 3, 2026

In one of the more intriguing Western Conference games on Saturday night, the Houston Rockets visit the Dallas Mavericks at the American Airlines Center. Houston enters this contest on a four-game winning streak, while Dallas is dealing with several key absences and a losing streak that has seen them drop four straight. Before this in-state rivalry game in Texas, you will find my Rockets vs Mavericks prediction right here.
Pick: | Rockets -7.5 |
Confidence: | 4/5 |
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Player | Prop |
|---|---|
Kevin Durant | Over 24.5 Points |
Amen Thompson | Over 5.5 Assists |
Cooper Flagg | Over 19.5 Points |
Anthony Davis | Over 10.5 Rebounds |
Score Projection: Rockets 122 – Mavericks 109
Win Probability: Rockets 72%, Mavericks 28%
I am going to lay the points with the Houston Rockets on Saturday night in the NBA. The Rockets are operating at one of the highest levels in the NBA offensively and that should continue against a Mavs team that has been consistently bad on defense. Look for the Rockets to win this game by double-digits and to cover the spread on the road.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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