Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Pick & Prediction - 12/25/2025
Updated December 24, 2025
Updated December 24, 2025
The NBA’s holiday showcase on Christmas Day includes a Western Conference matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and the Golden State Warriors at Chase Center in San Francisco on Thursday. Both teams enter this Christmas encounter at .500 or below on the season. But the star power in this game is undeniable, with rookie Cooper Flagg and Anthony Davis leading the Mavs against Steph Curry and Jimmy Butler of the Warriors. Before this contest from the Bay Area, you'll find my Mavericks vs Warriors prediction right here.
Pick: | Mavericks +8.5 |
Confidence: | 2/5 |
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Player | Prop |
|---|---|
Stephen Curry | Under 28.5 Points |
Cooper Flagg | Over 20.5 Points |
Anthony Davis | Over 25.5 Points |
Score Projection: Dallas Mavericks 111 – Golden State Warriors 116
Win Probability: Dallas Mavericks 32%, Golden State Warriors 68%
Golden State should be able to get a win at home on Christmas Day to extend its hot streak on its home floor. But I'm taking the points with the Mavs in this matchup. The size of Flagg and Davis will be hard for the Warriors to contain and we should see the Mavs keep this game close.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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