SERIE A
Sassuolo have scored 9 and allowed 9 in five matches, which fits a game state that can become open if they chase from behind. Milan arrive with a better league position, a plus-six goal differential, and the superior defensive numbers. The contrast is simple: Sassuolo can threaten, but Milan have been far harder to score against and slightly more efficient in front of goal.
AC Milan are projected to win 2-1 in a match with three goals. Their defensive edge and better chance quality make the away side the best-supported position, even if Sassuolo contribute enough attack to keep the total live.
