Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction - November 15, 2026

Prediction

• Recommended Position: Seattle Seahawks -6.5 Model Win Probability: 56.0% Market Implied Probability: 52.38% Model Edge: 3.62% Entry Threshold: -140 Model Confidence: 66/100

Model Projection

• ●Projected Score: Seattle Seahawks 27, Las Vegas Raiders 20
• ●Projected Total: 47.0

Why This Position Stands Out

Seattle brings the cleaner profile on both sides of the ball. The Seahawks have allowed just 19.88 points per game and 4.17 yards per play allowed, while Las Vegas has given up 28.75 points per game and 6.10 yards per play allowed. That gap matters because Seattle can lean on a defense that has consistently limited efficiency and big plays, while the Raiders have struggled to keep opponents out of scoring range. The Raiders are also giving up 235.5 passing yards per game, which creates pressure against a Seattle offense that has been more balanced and does enough through the air to keep drives alive. The spread looks slightly mispriced because the market is asking for a standard-priced road favorite while the underlying numbers point to a larger separation than the current consensus suggests. Seattle has the stronger point differential profile, better defensive consistency, and the better turnover picture relative to Las Vegas, which has a positive margin but also a defense that has been far more vulnerable. In a game where the Seahawks should control field position and avoid the kind of back-and-forth script that benefits an underdog, Seattle has the cleaner path to separation.

Matchup Overview

Seattle enters with the better defensive form, allowing only 250.0 yards per game and 19.88 points per game, while also holding opponents to 4.17 yards per play. Las Vegas has been productive enough on offense at 27.63 points per game and 342.38 yards per game, but that output has been offset by a defense that has allowed 381.88 yards per game and 6.10 yards per play. The Raiders do have a strong turnover margin at plus 5, which gives them a chance to stay competitive, but Seattle’s steadier balance and superior defensive efficiency make the Seahawks the side with the more reliable recent profile.