Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans Prediction - November 15, 2026

Matchup Overview

Jacksonville enters with far better offensive efficiency, averaging 28.63 points and 346.38 yards per game while allowing just 15.12 points and 318.25 yards per game. The Jaguars also have a strong turnover margin at plus 9. Tennessee is much lighter on offense at 18.0 points and 272.5 yards per game, and the defense has been vulnerable, allowing 24.88 points and 382.38 yards per game. The Titans do have a respectable rushing attack relative to their overall offense, but the Jaguars’ defensive front has limited rushing production and held opponents to 89.25 rushing yards per game. On recent trend data, Jacksonville is 5-3-0 against the spread and 4-4-0 to the over, while Tennessee is 4-4-0 against the spread and 4-4-0 to the over.

Market Trends

• ●Jacksonville Jaguars are 5-3-0 against the spread and 4-4-0 to the over.
• ●Tennessee Titans are 4-4-0 against the spread and 4-4-0 to the over.

Prediction Summary

Jacksonville should be the more likely winner based on the season-long numbers, but the spread looks a bit too aggressive for a division game where Tennessee can still lean on enough ball control to keep the margin from ballooning. The Jaguars have the cleaner profile on both sides of the ball and a major turnover edge, yet the Titans are positioned to absorb some of that pressure and avoid a lopsided result. The best value is Tennessee plus the points, with Jacksonville still projected to win 24-20 in a game that lands below the market total.