COLLEGE FOOTBALL

TCU enters with a 3-3 record and a recent win, while West Virginia is 4-3 and also coming off a victory. The Horned Frogs have been steadier on defense, holding opponents to 13.4 points per game, 255.0 yards per game, and 4.6 yards per play allowed, while West Virginia’s defense has been the weaker unit in the matchup, allowing 34.0 points and 7.4 yards per play. Offensively, TCU’s 25.4 points per game and 280.0 passing yards per game give it a path to score efficiently, and West Virginia’s attack has been productive enough to keep pressure on the total with 31.1 points per game and 411.7 yards per game.
TCU is the better scoring side in this matchup, and the best value leans to the Horned Frogs clearing their team scoring number. Their offense has produced 25.4 points per game and 280.0 passing yards per game, while West Virginia has struggled badly on defense, allowing 34.0 points and 483.9 yards per game. That defensive profile is the main reason to expect TCU to reach the mid-30s at home. My projected final score is TCU Horned Frogs 35, West Virginia Mountaineers 24.