COLLEGE FOOTBALL

USC enters with a 6-1 record, a two-game winning streak, and a road résumé that includes two wins away from home. The Trojans have scored 255 points across seven games and are averaging 36.4 points per game, while allowing 25.1 points per game. Wisconsin is 4-2, has been strong at home, and has allowed just 16.7 points per game, but its offense is less dynamic at 27.5 points per game. USC’s 6.6 yards per play also tops Wisconsin’s 5.6, while Wisconsin’s defense has been the sharper unit in yards per play allowed. That sets up a contrast between USC’s higher offensive ceiling and Wisconsin’s more stable defensive profile.
USC is the projected winner in a game that should stay competitive but tilt toward the Trojans’ offense. Wisconsin’s defense can keep this from turning into a shootout, yet USC’s better scoring output, stronger yards-per-play number, and perfect road record make the Trojans the preferred side. The projected final is USC 27, Wisconsin 23, which fits a modest USC win and supports a smaller total than the highest market number without forcing a heavy pace expectation.