COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Florida Atlantic comes in 4-2 overall and 3-0 at home, while Rice is 1-6 overall and 0-3 on the road. Florida Atlantic is producing 35.0 points per game and allowing 31.5, with a yards per play profile of 5.1 on offense and 6.7 allowed. Rice has been held to 17.0 points per game, with 29.0 points allowed, 4.7 yards per play on offense, and 5.7 allowed. Those numbers point to a game where Florida Atlantic should move the ball well enough to dictate pace, while Rice will need to greatly outperform its season averages just to keep the score tight.
Florida Atlantic should be the side to back here, with the better offense, the stronger home form, and the more reliable efficiency profile. Rice has struggled badly this season, especially away from home, and its scoring output has not been strong enough to make a close game the most likely result. The projection calls for Florida Atlantic to win 38-27, which supports a home cover and points to a higher-scoring game than the market number.
