COLLEGE FOOTBALL
North Texas enters on a three-game winning run and has been one of the most productive offenses in the country, averaging 42.2 points and 527.2 total yards per game with 7.30 yards per play. Navy has a 2-4 record but has still been efficient in its own way, posting 28.2 points per game and 6.67 yards per play while leaning heavily on a run game that averages 299.4 rushing yards per game. Defensively, Navy has allowed 25.8 points per game and 346.5 total yards per game, while North Texas has allowed 29.2 points per game and 355.8 total yards per game, leaving this as a strength-on-strength offensive game with Navy’s pace control giving the under a live path.
Navy should be able to keep this game closer than the market expects, but the better angle is the total. North Texas has the sharper offense on paper, yet Navy’s tempo and run-heavy structure should reduce the number of possessions enough to keep scoring in check. A final score around Navy 31, North Texas 27 fits a Navy home win and leaves the game below the projected total.
