COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Liberty enters with a 2-1 record and a two-game winning streak, powered by 29.3 points per game and 6.0 yards per play on offense. Coastal Carolina is 1-2, but it has put up 27.7 points per game and 6.0 yards per play, which suggests the Chanticleers can score enough to stay within range. On defense, Coastal has allowed 20.0 points per game and 5.7 yards per play, while Liberty has allowed 19.3 points per game and 5.1 yards per play, so both defenses have been serviceable. The biggest difference is that Liberty has been the less dependable team against the spread, while Coastal has played better relative to expectations at home.
Liberty should have a slight edge on paper, but the short spread makes Coastal Carolina the better betting side. The Chanticleers’ offense has been productive enough to keep this game close, and their home setting gives them a real chance to hang inside the number. I project a narrow Liberty win, 26-24, which supports Coastal Carolina +2.5 and a game total that lands just below the market expectation.