COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Georgia State enters with a better overall record and has been efficient on offense, averaging 36.5 points per game while allowing 24.0. The Panthers are coming off a 49-22 loss at James Madison after earlier wins over Old Dominion and North Carolina A&T, and their attack has produced 373 yards in that latest road game. Arkansas State is 3-4 overall and just snapped a losing stretch with a 23-13 road win at Southern Miss, but the Red Wolves also played a 56-49 shootout against South Alabama and have allowed 26.6 points per game. That combination of Georgia State’s scoring ceiling and Arkansas State’s recent high-tempo results points to a game that can move past the posted total if both offenses avoid empty drives.
Georgia State has the better season profile, but the strongest angle here is the total because both teams have produced enough offense to support a game with multiple scoring swings. Arkansas State has shown it can get into a high-scoring game, while Georgia State has been one of the better scoring teams in the sample and remains capable of pushing the pace on the road. My projection is Georgia State Panthers 34, Arkansas State Red Wolves 30, which gives a total of 64 and a narrow Georgia State win.
