CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

Across Napoli’s two Champions League matches, the record is 0-0-2, but the shot and chance profile is closer than the standings show. Napoli sits on 0.50 goals and 0.50 xG per match, while conceding 2.00 goals and 2.00 xGA, a split that hints at ugly variance. Napoli’s 3.0 shots on target per match supports the attack, even with the negative goal swing.
Our Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt prediction is Napoli 2-1 Bodø/Glimt. We like Napoli to win at an entry threshold of -173, with the strongest angle coming from the gap between its 0.50 xG per match and 2.00 goals conceded.