NC State vs Notre Dame Pick & Prediction - 10/11/2025
Updated October 10, 2025
Updated October 10, 2025
NC State and Notre Dame are set to face off at Notre Dame Stadium on Saturday afternoon. Notre Dame has won three games in a row after dropping their first two games of the season. They will try to get their fourth win in a row, this time against an NC State team that is two wins away from securing a bowl bid. Here, I break down this game and make my NC State vs Notre Dame prediction.
Betting Market | Odds |
|---|---|
Spread | Notre Dame -22.5 |
Moneyline | Notre Dame -2000, NC State +1000 |
Total Points | 59.5 |
NC State: Quarterback CJ Bailey has been impressive, completing 74.6% of his passes for 1,660 yards, 13 touchdowns, and four interceptions. His ability to make explosive plays will be tested against a Notre Dame defense that is finding its rhythm after an 0-2 start.
Notre Dame: CJ Carr has displayed maturity beyond his years, leading the Irish offense with 1,280 passing yards and 11 touchdowns. He has running back Jeremiyah Love to help him, with Love entering this game with six touchdowns on the ground this season.
Score Projection: Notre Dame 40 – NC State 21
Win Probability: Notre Dame 85%, NC State 15%
Notre Dame should win this game pretty handily at home on Saturday afternoon. But I am going to take the points with NC State. The Irish have struggled on defense against respectable power conference opponents this year and CJ Bailey is certainly good enough at quarterback to help NC State keep this game within two or three possessions in South Bend.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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