UCF Knights vs Texas A&M Aggies Pick & Prediction - 11/14/2025

The UCF Knights and Texas A&M Aggies will meet in college basketball on Friday night. Both of these teams are 2-1 and faltered in their only matchup against a power conference opponent this year. They will both try to get their first win against quality competition in this matchup from College Station. Before this game tips off, you can find my UCF vs Texas A&M prediction below.

Our UCF vs Texas A&M Pick

Pick: Texas A&M -10.5
Confidence: ★★★☆☆

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: UCF Knights @ Texas A&M Aggies
• Date & Time: Friday, November 14, 2025, 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: Reed Arena, College Station, Texas
• Broadcast: SECN+

Key Storylines

• UCF enters 2-1 on the season, fresh off a dominant 97-60 win over Florida A&M. They shot the ball extremely well, including 5/6 shooting from three by Carmelo Pacheco. But they lost by 12 points to Vanderbilt in their first real test of the season and they will try to pass their second test against an SEC opponent here.
• The UCF defense has given up 81.0 points per game. This is also their first road game of the 2025-26 season. The Knights will have to overcome a hostile environment and a porous defense if they want to avoid dropping to 2-2 on the year.
• Texas A&M is also 2-1, but they come off an 87-63 loss at Oklahoma State where they shot just 32.3% from the field and allowed 48.5% shooting. The Aggies were on the road for that game against a Big 12 opponent. They are at home for this matchup against another Big 12 foe and will try to make good in front of their home crowd.

Betting Trends

• UCF is 1-2 against the spread so far this season.
• Texas A&M has covered the spread in two of its first three games.
• The Knights have seen two of their first three games go over their totals.
• Texas A&M is also 2-1 to the over after their first three outings.

Home/Road Splits

• Texas A&M at home: 2-0 so far this season.
• UCF on the road: 0-0 so far this season.

UCF vs Texas A&M Model Projection

Score Projection: UCF 72 – Texas A&M 85

Win Probability: UCF 16%, Texas A&M 84%

Final Thoughts

This game is a great chance for Texas A&M to bounce back from their disappointing performance against Oklahoma State. The Aggies have been excellent at home this season and they should keep it that way against a UCF team that has struggled mightily to defend consistently early on. The Knights will struggle in their first road game of the year and the Aggies will cover the number as a double-digit favorite.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

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