Updated February 28, 2026
Saturday’s Big 12 slate delivers a significant late‑season test as the Texas Tech Red Raiders travel to face the Iowa State Cyclones in one of the weekend’s most intriguing battles between ranked teams. Iowa State has been exceptional at home this season, protecting Hilton Coliseum with an unblemished home record, while Texas Tech enters on the strength of recent wins and star guard play. With both clubs vying for positioning ahead of March conference and postseason play, this game carries high stakes and compelling betting intrigue.
The Red Raiders aim to make a statement on the road, but the Cyclones boast one of the nation’s best home environments and a top‑five ranking that reflects consistent performance throughout the season. Oddsmakers currently have Iowa State favored by a sizable margin with the spread around Cyclones minus 7.5 to minus 9.5 and the total set near 145.5, giving bettors plenty to consider on the moneyline and props.
Pick: Texas Tech +10.5 ATS PRO
Confidence: 2 out of 5
Stat | Texas Tech | Iowa State |
|---|---|---|
Points per game | 82.0 | 82.8 |
Points allowed per game | 72.2 | 64.9 |
Team Field Goal % | 46.9% | 50.1% |
Rebounds per Game | 37.8 | 35.9 |
Assists per Game | 16.0 | 17.8 |
Score Projection: Texas Tech 70 – Iowa State 79 ATS PRO
Win Probability: Texas Tech 20%, Iowa State 80% ATS PRO
Iowa State should ultimately win this game at home, but I'm taking the points with Texas Tech, as their point spreads have moved a little too far against them since Toppin was ruled out for the season. The Cyclones will win, but I have this as a single-digit game.
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