Florida Gators vs Georgia Bulldogs Prediction & ATS Pick – 2/11/2026

Two high-scoring SEC programs collide in Athens with Florida visiting Georgia in a late-season test that will shape the conference pecking order. Florida brings a top-tier rebounding team and a recent run of convincing wins, while Georgia is in desperate need of a win to stay above .500 in conference play. Here, I break down this matchup in the SEC and make my Florida vs Georgia prediction in college hoops.

Our Florida vs Georgia Pick

Pick:

Confidence: 3/5

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Florida Gators @ Georgia Bulldogs
• Date & Time: Wednesday, February 11, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: Stegeman Coliseum, Athens, Georgia
• Broadcast: ESPN2

Key Storylines

• Form guide: Florida has won 4 of its last 5, including a 100-77 over Alabama and 86-67 at Texas A&M. Georgia just snapped a 3-game slide with an 83-71 road win at LSU in their last game. Georgia comes into this game with a 5-5 conference record and they desperately need a win here at home.
• First meeting recap: Florida beat Georgia 92-77 on January 6 behind a 56-35 rebounding edge and 58 points in the paint.
• Headliners: Florida’s Thomas Haugh averages 17.8 PPG. Center Rueben Chinyelu leads the Gators with 11.5 RPG and is a big reason for Florida’s consistent edge on the glass. Georgia’s Jeremiah Wilkinson averages 17.1 PPG, while center Somto Cyril anchors the paint with 2.7 BPG.
• Tempo and scoring: Florida scores 86.3 PPG and allows 71.2 PPG. Georgia scores 91.9 PPG and allows 77.3. Expect pace, but second-chance points for the Gators could help them to crack an inferior Georgia defense.
• Both of these teams are 17-6 overall this season, but they have had very different showings in conference play. The Gators are 8-2 in league play, while Georgia is just 5-5 in the SEC. That explains the Gators being close to a double-digit favorite despite being on the road against a team with an identical overall record.

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

• Florida won and covered the spread in the first meeting of the season between these SEC rivals.
• Florida is 11-12 against the spread so far this season.
• Georgia enters this contest with a 10-12-1 record against the spread.
• The under is 14-8-1 in Florida’s games this season.
• The under is 12-11 in Georgia games this year.

Florida vs Georgia Model Projection

Final Thoughts

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

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