The Purdue Boilermakers and Auburn Tigers will square off on Saturday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. Both of these teams are ranked going into this matchup and will be looking to make a statement late in non-conference play. Here, I take a closer look at this matchup between teams from the SEC and Big Ten and give you my Auburn vs Purdue prediction for Saturday night.
Our Auburn vs Purdue Pick
- Pick: Purdue -8.5
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Auburn Tigers vs Purdue Boilermakers
- Date & Time: Saturday, December 20, 2025, 6:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana
- Broadcast: Peacock
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Key Storylines
- Purdue has been dominant through 11 games, owning a 10-1 record and showcasing efficient offense and strong rebounding. Their recent win over Marquette highlighted their balanced scoring and strong defending.
- Auburn’s 8-3 record is the product of a potent scoring offense that averages 86.5 points per game, led by standout forward Keyshawn Hall. Hall is among the national leaders in scoring at 20.9 points per game.
- Defensively, Auburn has struggled at times, allowing just under 77 points per game, which could be a problem against Purdue’s explosive offense.
- Injuries have impacted Auburn’s depth with center Emeka Opurum sidelined for the year, while Purdue enters this contest relatively healthy.
- This is technically a neutral-site game, but the crowd will be on the side of Purdue given the fact that they are playing in their home state of Indiana.
- Ball movement has been a big key to the success of Purdue this season. The Boilermakers are averaging just over 20 assists per game so far this year and their ability to find open looks with their passing will be important to break down the defense of the Tigers.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Auburn is 2-2 all-time against Purdue.
- The Tigers 7-4 against the spread heading into this contest.
- The Boilermakers are 6-5 against the spread heading into this matchup.
- The over has hit in 9 of the 11 games involving Auburn this season.
- The Boilermakers have seen 8 of their 11 games stay under their respective totals.
Purdue vs Auburn Model Projection
Score Projection: Purdue 81 – Auburn 71
Win Probability: Purdue 80%, Auburn 20%
Final Thoughts
I'm going to lay the points with Purdue in this matchup from Indianapolis. Purdue is better on the defensive end of the floor and that should translate to a pretty significant edge, especially when combined with the crowd in Indy likely to be pro-Purdue. Look for the Boilermakers to win this contest by double-digits and to move themselves closer to a return to the top 5 in the rankings.
Jay Sanin
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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